Monday, 26 March 2012

Full 2011 NBA Re-Draft

      The 2011 NBA has turned out to be a surprisingly good one. There wasn't a superstar in the draft, a LeBron James or Dwight Howard, but there were a lot of good players who got drafted last year. Most of the first round draft picks have gotten consistent minutes and have had solid production this season, and some second round picks have had a huge impact as well. 15 of the first 20 picks have gotten more than 5 starts this season, and 4 second round picks have gotten starts. Looking back there were some very good picks and some very bad picks in that draft. Here's how the draft would have gone if it could be re-done right now.

      ***fg%=field goal percentage, 3P% = 3 point percentage, ppg = points per game, rpg = rebounds per game, apg = assists per game, spg = steals per game, mpg = minutes  per game, bpg = blocks per game

1.       Cleveland Caveleirs: Kyrie Irving PG -- .472 fg% .401 3P% 18.8 ppg 5.6apg  31.3 mpg

Cleveland Caveleirs Actually Picked: Kyrie Irving

Explanation: Kyrie Irving has been the best player to come out of this draft. His rookie numbers have been comparable to Derrick Rose's rookie stats, which shows just how good he has been. He's turned the worst team in the NBA into a playoff contender. 

2.       Minnesota T-Wolves: Kenneth Faried PF/C -- .589 fg% 9.6 ppg 7.1 rpg 1 bpg 20.5 mpg
Minnesota Timberwolves Actually Picked: Derrick Williams
Explanation: Derrick Williams would be the T-Wolves would be the second best option here, but the best pick would be Kenneth Faried. The undersized power forward has been one of the most effective big men all season. Every time he steps on the court he gives 100%, and it has shown in his production. He has been improving all season, and should keep improving in the future. He has begun to consistently get over 10 points and 5 rebounds, while playing great defense. On a Minnesota team with a frontcourt of Pekovic and Love, who are both "below the rim" players, Kenneth Faried with his above the rim style would be very valuable. Also Derrick Williams was better at PF than at SF, so the T-Wolves wouldn't be losing significant production at SF.
3.       Utah Jazz: Derrick Williams SF/PF -- .449 fg% .313 3P% 8.7ppg 4.9rpg 21mpg  
Utah Jazz Actually Picked: Enes Kanter
Explanation: Although Derrick Williams is better at PF, he is still an option at SF. He would fill a need at SF for the Jazz, and would add huge depth the the already stacked frontcourt of Jefferson Millsap and Favors. Kanter is getting very little playing time, and has not lived up to the expectations the Jazz had for him when they picked him 3rd overall. Derrick Williams would provide help at the SF position along with adding depth at PF. 
4.       Cleveland Caveleirs: Kawhi Leonard SF --  .486 fg% .365 3P% 8 ppg 1.4 spg 24.5 mpg
Cleveland Caveleirs Actually Picked: Tristan Thomson
Explanation: Kawhi Leonard is a coaches dream. He rebounds, scores, is a good passer, plays great defense. He isn't "great" at any one aspect of basketball, but instead he's good at all of them. His play in college with San Diego State was very similar to his play in the NBA, but scouts always thought he couldn't be as effective in the NBA. They were wrong. Leonard is a very solid consistent player, who will give good minutes to whatever team he plays for. The only reason he fell to 4th pick is that his upside isn't as high as the players ahead of him. With Tristan Thomson, much like Kanter he hasn't lived up to the expectations, and hasn't quite learned how to score consistently on NBA big men. 
5.       Toronto Raptors: Jonas Valencunas PF/C (Europe) --.660 fg% .83 ft%, 19.5 points per 40
Toronto Raptors Actually Picked: Jonas Valencunas
Explanation: The Raptors need a real franchise center to compete for a playoff spot in the east. They have that player in Valencunas. He's been playing on the Lietuvos Rytas Team and has been tearing up the Lithuanian League. Valencunas will be joining the Raptors in the 2012-2013 season, when we will find out whether this pick was genius or very dumb.
6.       Washington Wizards: Isaiah Thomas PG -- .438 fg% .373 3P%,10.1 ppg, 3.5 apg,  22.5 mpg
Washington Wizards Actually Picked: Jan Vesely
Explanation: Washington had an opportunity to use their #6 pick for a very good player that would help the Wizards get to the playoffs. That is absolutely not what happened. Jan Vesely, although loaded with potential, has not been able to put his skill together and consistently play well for the Wizards. The Wizards needed a player who would consistently play well and create scoring opportunities. Jan Vesely doesn't do these things, but Isaiah Thomas does. The very last pick of the 2011 draft has proven that 29 teams made a mistake by not picking him. He has been the creator of offense for the Sacramento Kings this year, and has been a huge surprise. His speed and consistent jumper makes him very hard to cover. This pick would also make sense because there is a lack of depth at SG after Nick Young was traded away, and Isaiah Thomas would quickly become a reliable shooter guard option (he's a point guard but also plays shooting guard).
7.       Charlotte Bobcats: Kemba Walker PG -- .37 fg%, .37 3P%,12.1 ppg, 4.1 apg, 1 spg 27 mpg  
Charlotte Bobcats Actually Picked: Bismack Biyombo
Explanation: In the 2011 draft Kemba Walker was picked by Charlotte with teh 9th pick, but if the draf were to happen again the pistons would surely pick Kemba. That's why the Bobcats would pick him here, instead of waitig for their next pick. Kemba has struggled with his shooting this season, but has still managed to get 12.1 ppg. He is the lone bright spot on one of the worst teams in NBA history, the Charlotte Bobcats. Kemba's U'conn team could have beaten the Bobcats. It should be presumed that when Kemba does get other good players around him in Charlotte he will become a much better player. 
8.       Detroit Pistons: MarShon Brooks SG/SF -- .430 fg%, .331 3P%, 12.8 ppg 29.6 mpg  
Detroit Pistons Atually Picked: Brandon Knight

Explanation: Brandon Knight was supposed to be the next great Kentucky point guard to become an NBA star, following in John Wall's footpaths. That hasn't happened. Although he hasn't been awful, he hasn't been as good as expected, and has been outplayed by Rodney Stuckey. With Stuckey at point guard that leaves Ben Gordon and Teyshaun Prince at shooting guard and small forward. For a team rebuilding, those are not the guys you want playing most of your minutes. The Pistons are looking for a shooting guard, and the best one in the draft is MarShon Brooks. In college he was much like Jimmer Fredette, shooting from wherever and putting up insane numbers. The difference is Brooks's success has also happened in the NBA. He's proved if healthy he can be a consistent NBA scorer.

9.       Charlotte Bobcats: Tristan Thomson PF/C -- .431 fg%, 7.6 ppg, 1.1 bpg, 22 mpg

Charlotte Bobcats Actually Picked: Kemba Walker

Explanation:   Kemba was picked by the Bobcats with the 7th pick, so this pick was between Bismack Biyombo and Tristan Thomson. Even with as good as Biyombo has been for the Cavs, Thomson would be the obvious pick here. Thomson is a good defender and rebounder, and his offensive skill while raw is improving. He's much better offensively than Biyombo, and has a more promising future than Biyombo does, even with Bismacks blocking ability. 
10.   Sacramento Kings: Iman Shumpert PG/SG -- .385 fg% .263 3P% 9 ppg 1.8 spg 27.2 mpg
Sacramento Kings Actually Picked: Jimmer Fredette
Explanation: Jimmer is a good three point shooter, and that's about as far as his skill set goes. He can't defend, struggles to drive and tries to make too great a pass. Picking Jimmer with the tenth pick was a HUGE mistake for the Kings. The Kings are the worst defensive team in the NBA, and what they really need instead of a shooter is a guard who's great at defense. With Shumpert they'd get one of the leagues best on ball defenders, and a guy who can play point guard, which is something the Kings will need with Isaiah Thomas being picked by Washington.
11.   Golden State Warriors: Klay Thomson PG -- .436 fg%, .434 3P%, 10.2 ppg, 20.8 mpg
Golden State Warriors Actually Picked: Klay Thomson
12.   Utah Jazz: Bismack Biyombo C -- .452 fg%, .477 ft% 4.5 ppg, , 1.8 bpg, 20 mpg
Utah Jazz Actually Picked: Alec Burks
13.   Phoenix Suns: Brandon Knight PG -- .407 fg% .368 3P% 12.6 ppg, 3.6apg, 32.3mpg
Phoenix Suns Actually Picked: Markieff Morris
14.   Houston Rockets: Chandler Parsons SF -- .462 fg% .325 3P%, 8.9 ppg, 1.1 spg, 27.5 mpg
Houston Rockets Actually Picked: Marcus Morris
15.   San Antonio Spurs: Markieff Morris PF-- .390 fg% .381 3P%, 7.2 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 19.1 mpg
San Antonio Spurs Actually Picked: Kawhi Leonard
16.   Philadelphia 76ers: Nikola Vucevic PF/C -- .473fg .375 3P% 6.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg,17.1 mpg
Philadelphia 76ers Actually Picked: Nikola Vucevic
17.   New York Knicks: Enes Kanter C -- .462 fg% 4.7 ppg, 4.6 rbg, 13.8 mpg
New York Knicks Actually Picked: Iman Shumpert
18.   Washington Wizards: Alec Burks SG -- .448 fg% .296 3P%,6.8 ppg, 0.8 apg, 14.6 mpg 
Washington Wizards Actually Picked: Chris Singleton
19.   Millwaukee Bucks: Marcus Morris PF --.269 fg% 2.2 ppg, 7.2 mpg, 9 games played
Millwaukee Bucks Actually Picked: Tobias Harris
20.   Houston Rockets: Jan Vesely SF/PF -- .531 fg%  3.2 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 15.1 mpg  
Houston Rockets Actually Picked: Donatas Motiejunas
21.   Portland Trail Blazers: Jimmy Butler SG/SF --  .431 fg%, .250 3P%, 2.7 ppg, 8.8 mpg
Portland Trail Blazers Actually Picked: Nolan Smith
22.   Denver Nuggets: Jon Leuer PF -- .509 fg% .250 3P%  4.8 ppg, 12.2 mpg
Denver Nuggets Actually Picked: Kenneth Faried
23.   Chicago Bulls: Chris Singleton  SF/PF -- .363 fg% .333 3P% 4.5 ppg 1.2 spg 21.5 mpg
Chicago Bulls Actually Picked: Nikola Mirotic
24.   Oklahoma City Thunder: Norris Cole PG--.40 fg% .295 3P% 7.2 ppg 2.2 apg 19.9 mpg 
Oklahoma City Thunder Actually Picked: Reggie Jackson
25.   New Jersey Nets: Tobias Harris SF/PF --.446 fg% .294 3P%4.7 ppg 2 rpg  11 mpg 
New Jersey Nets Actually Picked: MarShon Brooks
26.   Denver Nuggets: JaJuan Johnson PF -- .489 fg%, 3.6 ppg, 8.4 mpg
Denver Nuggets Actually Picked: Jordan Hamilton
27.   Boston Celtics: Jimmer Fredette PG --.384 fg%, .377 3P%, 1.9apg,  18.7 mpg 
Boston Celtics Actually Picked: JaJuan Johnson
28.   Miami Heat: Reggie Jackson PG -- .331 fg%, .213 3P%, 3.3 ppg, 0.6 spg, 11.6 mpg 
Miami Heat Actually Picked: Norris Cole
29.   San Antonio Spurs: Shelvin Mack PG --.400 fg% .343 3P%  3.3 ppg 1.6 apg 11.5 mpg
San Antonio Spurs Atually Picked: Cory Joseph
30.   Chicago Bulls: Donatas Motiejunas PF (In Europe) --12.5 ppg, 7.9rpg, 31.3mpg
Chicago Bulls Actually Picked: Jimmy Butler


  1. Good blog. Interesting read and great topic since I haven't seen anyone else doing it.

  2. Isiah Thomas at 6 over Tristan Thomson, when Washington has John Wall. hmmm a backup PG or a starting PF...hahahahahhha

    1. he can and and has played SG, so isaiah thomas could be the replacement for Nick Young

  3. lets remember that teams are drafting players for at least 3 years. they have to look at potential. people like isiah thomas can contribute right away, but how much more would someone like Enes Kanter tribute in 2 years? High Ceilings > Low Ceilings